Bryan R Jones

Education

Ph.D., Geography, University of Colorado Boulder CO

M.A., Geography, University of Connecticut Storrs CT

B.A., Communications Sciences, University of Connecticut

B.A., Economics, University of Connecticut Storrs CT

Books

Jones, B. R., Huerta, C., Pagani, G., Nam, Y., Forster, M., & Burgess, J. (2024). Future Urban Landscapes: Climate Migration Projections in Cities. C40 Cities.

Amakrane, K., Rosengaertner, S., Simpson, N. P., de Sherbinin, A., Jones, B. R., Linekar, J., Horwood, C., Cottier, F., Adamo, S., Mills, B., Yetman, G., Chai-Onn, T., Squires, J., Schewe, J., Frouws, B., & Forin, R. (2023). African Shifts: The African Climate Mobility Report, Addressing Climate-Forced Migration & Displacement. New York, NY, African Climate Mobility Initiative & The Global Center for Climate Mobility.

Blocher, J., Destrijcker, L., Fischer, B., Gleixner, S., Jones, B. R., Gornott, C., Hegre, H., Jansen, L., Kjaerum, A., Lindqvist-McGowan, A., & von Loeben, S. (2022). Moving from Reaction to Action - Anticipating Vulnerability Hotspots in the Sahel: A Synthesis Report from the Sahel Predictive Analysis Project in Support of the United Nations Integrated Strategy for the Sahel (UNISS). United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR).

Rigaud, K. K., Sherbinin, A., Jones, B., Abu-Ata, N. E., & Adamo, S. (2021). Groundswell Africa: A Deep Dive into Internal Climate Migration in Senegal. World Bank.

Clement, V., Rigaud, K., de Sherbinin, A., Jones, B., Adamo, S., Schewe, J., Sadiq, N., & Shabahat, E. (2021). Groundswell Part 2: Acting on Internal Climate Migration. (p. 362). Washington DC, World Bank.

Rigaud, K. K., Sherbinin, A., Jones, B., Arora, A., & Adamo, S. (2021). Groundswell Africa: A Deep Dive on Internal Climate Migration in Tanzania. World Bank.

Rigaud, K. K., Sherbinin, A., Jones, B., Arora, A., & Adamo, S. (2021). Groundswell Africa: A Deep Dive on Internal Climate Migration in Nigeria. World Bank.

Rigaud, K. K., Sherbinin, A., Jones, B., Arora, A., & Adamo, S. (2021). Groundswell Africa: A Deep Dive on Internal Climate Migration in Uganda. World Bank.

Rigaud, K. K., Sherbinin, A., Jones, B., Adamo, S., Maleki, D., Abu-Ata, N. E., Casals, F., Arora, A., Chai-Onn, T., & Mills, B. (2021). Groundswell Africa: Internal Climate Migration in West African Countries. World Bank.

Rigaud, K. K., Sherbinin, A., Jones, B., Adamo, S., Maleki, D., Abu-Ata, N. E., Casals, F., Arora, A., Chai-Onn, T., & Mills, B. (2021). Groundswell Africa: Internal Climate Migration in the Lake Victoria Basin Countries. World Bank.

Rigaud, K. K., deSherbinin, A., Jones, B., Bergmann, J., Clement, V., Ober, K., Schewe, J., Adamo, S., McCusker, B., Hueser, S., & Midgely, A. (2018). Groundswell : Preparing for Internal Climate Migration. (p. 256). Washington, DC, World Bank.

Journal Articles

(2025). Anticipating climate change-related mobility in Karachi and Ho Chi Minh City: lessons from a hybrid foresight approach. Data & Policy, 7. e13.

(2024). The Groundswell model for projecting future climate migration. . Frontiers in Climate,

(2024). Scenario-based future projections of climate-induced migration in Madagascar. .

(2023). Measuring the effect of climate change on migration flows: Limitations of existing data and analytical frameworks. PLOS Climate, 2(1). 1-10.

(2023). Marsh archive reveals human population history and future implications for estuarine health in Long Island Sound. Science of The Total Environment, 895. 164885.

(2023). Exploring spatial feedbacks between adaptation policies and internal migration patterns due to sea-level rise. Nature Communications, 14(1). 2630.

(2022). The importance of reclassification to understanding urban growth: A demographic decomposition of the United States, 1990--2010. Population, Space and Place, e2562.

(2022). Frameworks to envision equitable urban futures in a changing climate: a multi-level, multidisciplinary case study of New York City. Frontiers in Built Environment, 159.

(2021). Extreme heat related mortality: spatial patterns and determinants in the United States, 1979--2011. Spatial Demography, 9(1). 107--129.

Reimann, L., Jones, B., Nikoletopoulos, T., & Vafeidis, A. T. (2021). Accounting for internal migration in spatial population projections—a gravity-based modeling approach using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Environmental Research Letters, 16(7).

Jones, B., Balk, D., & Leyk, S. (2020). Urban Change in the United States, 1990–2010: A Spatial Assessment of Administrative Reclassification. Sustainability, 12(4). 20.

Xu, Y., Wu, X., Kumar, R., Barth, M., Diao, C., Gao, M., Lin, L., Jones, B., & Meehl, G. (2020). Substantial Increase in the Joint Occurrence and Human Exposure of Heatwave and High-PM Hazards Over South Asia in the Mid-21st Century. AGU Advances, 1(2).

Wrathall, D., Mueller, V., Clark, P., Bell, A., Oppenheimer, M., Hauer, M., Kulp, S., Gilmore, E., Adams, H., Kopp, R., Abel, K., Call, M., Chen, J., de Sherbinin, A., Fussell, E., Hay, C., Jones, B., Magliocca, N., Marino, E., Slangen, A., & Warner, K. (2019). Meeting the looming policy challenge of sea-level change and human migration. Nature Climate Change, 9(12). 898-901.

Balk, D., Montgomery, M., Engin, H., Major, E., Lin, N., & Jones, B. (2019). Urbanization in India: Population and Urban Classification Grids for 2011. Data, 4(1). 35.

Xia, H., Adamo, S., de Sherbinin, A., & Jones, B. (2019). The Influence of Environmental Change (Crops and Water) on Population Redistribution in Mexico and Ethiopia. Applied Sciences , 9(23).

Leyk, S., Balk, D., Jones, B., Montgomery, M., & Engin, H. (2019). The heterogeneity and change in the urban structure of metropolitan areas in the United States, 1990–2010. Scientific Data, 6(1). 1-15.

Jones, B., Riosmena, F., Simon, D. H., & Balk, D. (2019). Estimating Internal Migration in Contemporary Mexico and its Relevance in Gridded Population Distributions. Data, 4(2). 50.

Sanderson, E. W., Moy, J., Rose, C., Fisher, K., Jones, B., Balk, D., Clyne, P., Miquelle, D., & Walston, J. (2019). Implications of the shared socioeconomic pathways for Tiger (Panthera tigris) conservation. Biological Conservation, (231). 12-23.

(2019). The heterogeneity and change in the urban structure of metropolitan areas in the United States, 1990--2010. Scientific data, 6(1). 321.

Jones, B., Tebaldi, C., O'Neill, B. C., Oleson, K., & Gao, J. (2018). Avoiding population exposure to heat-related extremes: Demographic change vs climate change. Climatic Change, 145(3-4). 423-437.

Balk, D., Nghiem, S. V., Jones, B., Liu, Z., & Dunn, G. (2018). Up and out: A multifaceted approach to characterizing urbanization in Greater Saigon, 2000–2009. Landscape and Urban Planning,

Balk, D., Leyk, S., Jones, B., Montgomery, M. R., & Clark, A. (2018). Understanding Urbanization: A study of census and satellite-derived urban classes in the United States, 1990-2010. PLOS One,

Chen, K., Fiore, A. M., Chen, R., Jiang, L., Jones, B., Schneider, A., Peters, A., Bi, J., Kan, H., & Kinney, P. L. (2018). Future ozone-related acute excess mortality under climate and population change scenarios in China: A modeling study. PLOS Medicine, 15(7).

Chen, K., Horton, R. M., Bader, D. A., Lesk, C., Jiang, L., Jones, B., Zhou, L., Cheng, X., Bi, J., & Kinney, P. L. (2017). Impact of climate change on heat-related mortality in Jiangsu Province, China. Environmental Pollution,

Leyk, S., Uhl, J. H., Barrios-Paoli, L., & Jones, B. (2017). Assessing the accuracy of multi-temporal built-up land layers across rural-urban trajectories in the United States. Remote Sensing of Environment,

Monaghan, A. J., Sampson, K. M., Steinhoff, D. F., Ernst, K. C., Ebi, K. L., Jones, B., & Hayden, M. H. (2016). The potential impacts of 21st century climatic and population changes on human exposure to the virus vector mosquito Aedes aegypti. Climatic Change, 14.

Parkinson, S. C., Johnson, N., Narasimha, D. R., Jones, B., van Vliet, M., Fricko, O., Djilali, N., Riahi, K., & Flörke, M. (2016). Climate and human development impacts on municipal water demand: A spatially explicit global modeling framework. Environmental Modelling & Software, 85. 266-278.

Anderson, G. B., Oleson, K. W., Jones, B., & Peng, R. D. (2016). Projected trends in high-mortality heatwaves under different scenarios of climate, population, and adaptation in 82 US communities. Climatic Change, 16.

Jones, B., & O'Neill, B. (2016). Spatially explicit global population scenarios consistent with the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Environmental Research Letters, 11(8).

Anderson, G. B., Oleson, K. W., Jones, B., & Peng, R. D. (2016). Classifying heatwaves: developing health-based models to predict high-mortality versus moderate United States heatwaves. Climatic Change, 15.

Jones, B., O'Neill, B. C., McGinnis, S. A., McDaniel, L., Tebaldi, C., & Mearns, L. (2015). Future population exposure to U.S. heat extremes. Nature Climate Change, 5. 652-655.

Oleson, K. W., Anderson, G. B., Jones, B., McGinnis, S. A., & Sanderson, B. (2015). Avoided climate impacts of urban and rural heat and cold waves over the U.S. using large climate model ensembles for RCP8.5 and RCP4.5. Climatic Change, 16.

Jones, B. (2014). Assessment of a gravity-based approach to constructing future spatial population scenarios. The Journal of Population Research, 31(1). 71-95.

Ruijwen, B., Levy, M., Agrawal, A., Biermann, F., & Jones, B. (2013). Enhancing the relevance of shared socioeconomic pathways for climate change impacts, adaptation and vulnerability research. Climatic Change, 1-14.

Jones, B., & O'Neill, B. C. (2013). Historically grounded spatial population projections for the continental United States. Environmental Research Letters, 8(4).

Rogers, A., & Jones, B. (2008). Inferring directional migration propensities from the migration propensities of infants in the United States. Mathematical Population Studies, 15(3). 182-211.

Rogers, A., Jones, B., Partida, V., & Muhidin, S. (2007). Inferring migration flows from the migration propensities of infants: Mexico and Indonesia. Annals of Regional Science, 41(2). 443-465.

Presentations

Jones, B. R. (2026, June 3). The Africa Climate Mobility Model: Somalia. Building Resilience Through Integrated Climate, Peace and Security Approaches: Somalia CPS Webinar Series. Virtual: Global Centre for Climate Mobility.

Jones, B. R. (2026, October 3). Human Mobility and Climate Change in Vanuatu. Technical Workshop on Internal Displacement and Climate Mobility Projections. Port Vila, Vanuatu: United Nations Development Programme.

Jones, B. R. (2026, February 3). Modeling Climate-Induced Migration: Ho-Chi-Minh City and Karachi. Foresight Work: Anticipating the Challenges and Opportunities of Human Mobility in the Context of Climate Change in Ho Chi Minh City & Karachi. Virtual Event: UNDP.

Jones, B. R. (2026, December 3). Modeling Climate-Induced Migration: Ho-Chi-Minh City and Karachi. Regional dialogue on Human Mobility and Climate Change in Urban Contexts in the Asia-Pacific. Bangkok, Thailand: UNDP.

Jones, B. R. (2026, October 3). Modeling and Projecting Climate-Induced Migration. Adaptation Futures Conference. Delhi, India: World Adaptation Science Programme.

Jones, B. (2026, December 3). Modeling Climate-Induced Migration. Climate Informed Demography Workshop. Virtual: American Society of Adaptation Professionals.

Jones, B. (2026, October 3). Modeling and Projecting Climate-Induced Migration. Bristol University (UK) Short Course. Virtual: Students for Global Health - Bristol University (UK).

Jones, B. (2026, October 3). Modeling and Projecting Climate-Induced Migration. Climate Change and Human Migration. Virtual: University College London Institute for Risk and Disaster Reduction.

Jones, B. (2026, July 3). Projecting Future Climate-Induced Migration: A Residual Gravity-Based Spatial Interaction Approach. Kiel, Germany: Kiel University Coastal Risks and Sea-Level Rise Research Group.

Jones, B. (2019, September 30). West Africa’s Climate Change and Migration Futures. World Bank Climate Migration Consultation Workshop. Accra, Ghana: World Bank.

Jones, B. (2026, October 3). Scenario-Based Projections of Future Climate-Induced Internal Migration. The 2nd Asian Population Forum. Shanghai, China: Asian Demographic Research Institute.

Jones, B. (2026, October 3). Methods for Estimating Future Climate-Induced Internal Migration. East China Normal University: East China Normal University.

Jones, B. (2026, February 3). Climate-Induced Migration Under Alternative Climate Scenarios. United Nations Expert Group Meeting on the Sustainable Development Impacts of Conflicts, Climate Change, Disasters, and Population Displacement. New York, NY: United Nations.

Jones, B. (2026, January 3). Migration Modeling using Global Population Projections. Meeting on Climate Change, Human Mobility, and Securing Resilience Flagship Report. : World Bank.

Jones, B., & deSherbinin, A. (2026, March 3). Climate Change Migration and Displacement: Presenting Results and Charting a Research Agenda. Columbia University Earth Institute Seminar. : Columbia University.

Jones, B., Riguad, K. K., & Zarrilli, D. A. (2026, April 3). Climate Change and Migration: How They Impact Global Public Policy and Cities. Marxe Issues. : Baruch College, Marxe School of Public and International Affairs.

Jones, B. (2026, April 3). Spatially explicit population scenarios for the United States consistent with the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers. : Association of American Geographers.

Jones, B. (2026, June 3). Avoiding Population Exposure to Heat-Related Extremes: Demographic Change vs. Climate Change. European Population Conference. Brussels, Belgium: European Association for Population Studies.

Jones, B. (2026, November 3). Avoiding Population Exposure to Heat-Related Extremes: Demographic Change vs. Climate Change. . Potsdam, Germany: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research.

Jones, B. (2026, October 3). New methods for projecting future climate-induced migration: Lessons from the Groundswell report and future directions.. Migration, Environment and Climate: What risk inequalities?. Paris, France: Institut national d'études démographiques.

Jones, B. (2026, March 3). Urban People vs Urban Land and Implications for Climate Change. CUNY GIS Summit. : CUNY.

Jones, B., Balk, D., & Leyk, S. (2026, April 3). A Spatial Method for Estimating Rural-Urban Population Reclassification. Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America. : Population Association of America.

Jones, B. (2026, March 3). Spatially Explicit Global Population Scenarios Consistent with the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers. San Francisco, CA

Jones, B. (2026, October 3). Avoiding Population Exposure to Heat-Related Extremes: Demographic Change vs. Climate Change. Newark, DE: University of Delaware Department of Geography.

Jones, B. (2026, September 3). Future Population Exposure to U.S. Heat Extremes. French Institute for Demographic Studies International Young Researchers Conference: The Impacts and Challenges of Demographic Change. Paris, France

Jones, B. (2026, May 3). Spatially Explicit Global Population Scenarios Consistent with the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Oak Ridge, TN: Oak Ridge National Laboratory.

Jones, B. (2026, December 3). Migration Modeling using Global Population Projections. Workshop on Data and Methods for Modelling Migration Associated with Climate Change. Paris, France

Jones, B. (2026, November 3). Measuring Cities: Implications for Climate-Related Research. New York University, New York, NY: Marron Institute of Urban Management.

Jones, B. (2026, May 3). Urban Change and Well-being: GHSL Applications with Survey & Census Data. European Commission Joint Research Centre 1st Urbanization and Europe Workshop. Ispra, Italy

Jones, B. (2026, August 3). Combining Satellite and Social Science Data in the Urban Century. ENVI Analytics Symposium. Boulder, CO

Jones, B. (2026, March 3). The Global Human Settlement Layer: Preliminary Research Applications. Washington, DC: The World Bank.

Jones, B. (2026, May 3). Spatial Population Projections for the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Expert Meeting on Scenarios. Vienna, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.

Jones, B. (2026, May 3). Historically Grounded Spatial Population Scenarios for the Continental United States. Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers. Boston, MA

Jones, B. (2026, May 3). Determinants of Uncertainty in Population Exposure to Climate-Related Extremes. Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America. Boston, MA

Jones, B. (2026, June 3). Data Challenges for Spatial Population Projections. United States Global Change Research Program Workshop: Towards Scenarios of US Demographic Change. Rockville, MD

Jones, B. (2026, July 3). Population Exposure to Heat-Related Extremes: Demographic Change vs. Climate Change. Integrated Assessment Modeling Group Annual Meeting. Boulder, CO: National Center for Atmospheric Research.

Jones, B. (2026, September 3). Projecting Future Exposure to Climate-Related Hazards: Extreme Heat. Louisiana State University School of the Coast and Environment Seminar Series. Baton Rouge, LA

Jones, B. (2026, December 3). Spatially Explicit Future Population Projections: Geographic and Demographically Informed Econometric Approaches. European Commission Joint Research Centre Institute for Prospective and Technological Studies 3rd Regional Modelling Workshop. Seville, Spain

Jones, B. (2026, October 3). Understanding a continuum: Human Settlements, Cities, and Urban Classification using GHSL with Survey and Census Data. European Commission Joint Research Centre 1st Global Human Settlements Workshop. Ispra, Italy

Jones, B. (2026, December 3). A multifaceted Approach to Understanding Dynamic Urban Processes: Satellites, Surveys, and Censuses. American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting. San Francisco, CA

Jones, B. (2013, August 31). Spatial Population Projections Based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways: Thailand. Integrated Assessment Modeling Group Annual Meeting. Boulder, CO: National Center for Atmospheric Research.

Jones, B. R. (2026, August 3). Spatial Population Projections Based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Integrated Assessment Modeling Group Annual Meeting. Boulder, CO: National Center for Atmospheric Research.

Jones, B. (2026, June 3). Historically Grounded Spatial Population Scenarios for the Continental United States. New York, NY: NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Columbia University.

Jones, B. (2026, January 3). A Gravity-Based Approach to Modeling Spatial Population Scenarios. College Park, MD: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory and the University of Maryland Joint Global Change Research Institute.

Jones, B. (2026, September 3). Global-Scale Spatial Population Scenarios: Methods and Applications in the IAV Community. IHDP Urbanization and Global Environmental Change Programme and the Program for Urban Global Systems at the CUNY Institute for Sustainable Cities Workshop: Global Spatial Population Projections: What Can Be Done Now?. New York, NY: Hunter College.

Jones, B. (2026, August 3). Population Exposure to Climate Hazards: Extreme Heat. Integrated Assessment Modeling Group Annual Meeting. Boulder, CO: National Center for Atmospheric Research.

Jones, B. (2026, February 3). Using Demographic Potential to Model Spatial Population Scenarios. The NCAR Climate and Global Dynamics Division Seminar Series. Boulder, CO: National Center for Atmospheric Research.

Jones, B. (2026, August 3). Alternative Approaches to Modeling Spatial Population Scenarios: Results from the United States. MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change. Cambridge, MA

Jones, B. (2026, July 3). An Improved Method for Projecting Spatial Population. Stanford University Energy Modeling Forum Workshop on Climate Change Impacts and Integrated Assessment: Critical Issues in Climate Change. Snowmass Village, CO

Jones, B. (2026, February 3). Modeling Spatial Population Scenarios.. Land Model/Biogeochemistry Working Group Meeting. Boulder, CO: National Center for Atmospheric Research.

Jones, B. (2026, April 3). A Gravity-Based Approach to Constructing Spatial Population Scenarios. Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers. Washington, DC

Jones, B. (2026, February 3). Repairing the Migration Data Reported by the American Community Survey. Annual Meeting of the Western Regional Science Association. Kona, HI

Jones, B. (2026, April 3). Inferring Directional Migration Propensities from the Migration Propensities of Infants in the United States. Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers. San Francisco, CA

Jones, B. (2026, May 3). Progress in Repairing the Migration Data Reported by the American Community Survey. Annual Meeting of the Pacific Regional Science Conference Organization. Vancouver, BC

Jones, B. (2026, February 3). Inferring Migration Flows from the Migration Propensities of Infants: Mexico and Indonesia. Annual Meeting of the Western Regional Science Association. Santa Fe, NM

Jones, B. (2026, September 3). A Method for Benchmarking Age-Specific Inter-Regional Migration: The Case of Iceland. Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers, Great Plains - Rocky Mountain Division. Laramie, WY: Great Plains – Rocky Mountain Division.

Jones, B. (2005, April 30). Rural Out-Migration in Contemporary Iceland: Patterns, Problems, and Policies. Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers. Denver, CO

Other Scholarly Works

Reviews

Jones, B. (2017,January 1). Natural disasters: Cities build their vulnerability. Nature Climate Change.

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